Sasol is expected to deliver a resilient set of results for the year ended 30 June 2021 (2021 financial year), underpinned by a notable gross margin recovery in the second half of the 2021 financial year combined with strong cost, working capital and capital expenditure performance despite the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and weather related events in the US impacting production by 300kt.
Shareholders are advised that for the 2021 financial year:
- Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be between R12,00 and R18,00 compared to the prior year loss per share of R148,49 (representing an improvement of more than 100%);
- Headline earnings per share (HEPS) are expected to be between R39,00 and R41,00 compared to the prior year headline loss per share of R11,50 (representing an improvement of more than 100%); and
- Core HEPS (CHEPS***) are expected to be between R27,00 and R30,00 compared to the prior year CHEPS of R15,08.
Sasol´s adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (adjusted EBITDA**) are expected to increase by between 32% and 49% from R35,0 billion in the prior year, to between R46 billion and R52 billion. This results from a strong recovery in chemical prices and a 4% increase in the rand per barrel price of Brent crude oil, partly offset by weather related events in both the US and South Africa impacting our gross margins adversely. Adjusted EBITDA were supported by a strong cost performance through better than planned delivery of the US$1 billion comprehensive crisis response plan commitment, as well as early delivery on the Sasol 2.0 initiative.
On 6 July 2021, the National Energy Regulator of South Africa (NERSA) published a final decision on the maximum gas price methodology for Sasol Gas (Pty) Ltd, a subsidiary of Sasol South Africa Limited, which determined the maximum price methodology for piped gas sold in South Africa for the period 2014 – 2021 and beyond. The 2021 financial results were adjusted accordingly to include a provision for the potential retrospective payment obligation.
Notable non-cash adjustments (before taxation) for the 2021 financial year include:
- Unrealised gains of R10,3 billion on the translation of monetary assets and liabilities and valuation of financial instruments and derivative contracts;
- Remeasurement items of R23,2 billion, mainly due to:
An impairment of R24,5 billion on the Synfuels refinery cash generating unit (CGU), largely due to a stronger forecasted rand/US dollar exchange rate which impacted negatively on the forecasted Basic Fuel Price;
A R7,9 billion impairment on the wax value chain, driven by higher future liquified natural gas (LNG) imports and Mozambique gas costs, and a stronger forecasted rand/US dollar exchange rate;
These impairments were partly offset by:
A reversal of a prior year impairment of R4,9 billion relating to the US ethylene oxide/ethylene glycol (EO/EG) CGU after the Ziegler alcohols unit (Ziegler) reached beneficial operation (BO) in June 2020. Given the interdependencies of the Ziegler, EO and ethoxylates (ETO) units, as well as the change in regulatory environment surrounding EO, the CGUs were reassessed and now considered to be one integrated CGU. The impairment assessment of the combined CGU showed significant headroom, resulting in the full financial year 2019 impairment of the EO/EG CGU being reversed in the 2021 financial year;
Net profit on disposal of businesses of R2,2 billion, including the Air Separation Units; and
R3,4 billion gain on the realisation of the foreign currency translation reserve (FCTR), mainly on the divestment of 50% interest in the LCCP Base Chemicals Business.
Adjusted EBITDA and Core HEPS are not defined terms under IFRS and may not be comparable with similarly titled measures reported by other companies. The aforementioned adjustments are the responsibility of the directors of Sasol. The adjustments have been prepared for illustrative purposes only and due to their nature, may not fairly present Sasol´s financial position, changes in equity, results of operations or cash flows.
RESTATEMENT OF PRIOR YEAR RESULTS
Shareholders are advised that Sasol's results contain a prior year adjustment in the South African integrated value chain impairment assessment, impacting impairments recognised since the 2017 financial year. The Company has revised its previously reported results and related disclosures. The comparative balances differ from those previously reported. The Company evaluated the effect of the prior period adjustments, both quantitatively and qualitatively, and concluded that the correction did not have a material impact on, and did not require amendment of, any of the Company's previously issued or filed financial statements taken as a whole. Further details regarding the nature of the restatements will be shared when the results for 2021 financial year are released.
The financial information on which this trading statement is based has not been reviewed and reported on by the Company's external auditors. Sasol´s 2021 financial results may still be impacted by a number of factors, including adjustments resulting from the year-end closure process.